(12-26-2024, 08:38 PM)Firstchance Wrote: After we win the last two where will we be?
Well.... We will be, uhh.... 6-11.?? Is that what you meant.??
I suspect you were referee-ing to Draft position. Which of course will require me to go make a search for my
other pants -- where the crystal ball resides.
BUT... If i were to hazard a guess, I would think a 6-11 record would put us around #9 or #10 --- Maybe.?? Let's see. There will be 14 teams (including wildcards) in the playoffs. So that covers Draft positions #19 to #32. There are also
7 more teams that are already at
7 or more wins that
WILL finish above the Panthers (because the Panthers can get to a max of
6 wins). So that covers the top 21 teams -- Draft positions #12 to #32.
So with the top 21 positions already committed by W-L records, there remains only 11 positions left, One of which belongs to the Panthers. The Panthers are CURRENTLY at #8 (tie). So the top of Draft Order looks like this
right now.
1) Giants 2-13
2) Patriots 3-12
3) Jaguars 3-12
4) Titans 3-12
5) Browns 3-12
6) Raiders 3-12
7) Bears 4-12
8) Panthers 4-11
8) Jets 4-11
10) Saints 5-10
11) 49ers 6-9
What does this mean.?? Well, it
might still be possible for the Panthers to end up with the #1 pick if they lose the final two games. It would depend on the tie-breaker formula AND all of the teams that are currently ahead of the Panthers (positions 1-7) winning their remaining games.
VERY HIGHLY UNLIKELY.. OTOH... It's also possible for the Panthers to end up at #11 (depending on tie-breakers) if the 49ers lose out, the Saints lose 1 or 2 and the Jets lose at least 1 (once again depending on tie-breakers).
The tie-breaker formula. If multiple teams are tied based on final W-L record, then the order is determined by a team's 'strength of schedule'. Tied teams are positioned in order based upon the average W-L record of the teams they faced (their opponents). THEN... If two or more teams are still tied after the 'strength of schedule' calculation, then position is awarded based upon their W-L record against Division or Conference opponents.
So... based upon the scenario proposed by FC..... If the Panthers win their final two games; It looks like they would probably end up between #8 -- #11. ---
BUT: Ahhh, those pesky other teams and those pesky tie-breaker rules..!!!